Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1211
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 1211 · XNA → GUF
departs 2:25 PM CT · arrives 4:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at GUF more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at GUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to GUF?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.1 in of rain forecast at GUF that day
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
GUF usually runs smoothly
↓
GUF is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
GUF (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 4.00 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.