Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1214
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 1214 · BGR → SFB
departs 11:01 AM ET · arrives 2:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
9%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at BGR that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BGR (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.