Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1226
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 1226 · LIT → SFB
departs 8:34 AM CT · arrives 11:41 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
LIT is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
8am departures from LIT are usually not late
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.02 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.