G4 1249 · SFB → LIT

departs 11:34 AM ET · arrives 12:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LIT?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into LIT at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SFB (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.30 in

LIT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1249 · SFB → LIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIT?