Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1415
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 1415 · TYS → DEN
departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 8:11 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at TYS that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 1.33 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.