Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1459
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
G4 1459 · VPS → XNA
departs 1:30 PM CT · arrives 3:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 3.9 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 4.12 in
XNA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.