Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 1462 · VPS → LCK
departs 7:25 AM CT · arrives 10:22 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LCK more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LCK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at LCK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LCK?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 3.3 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from VPS are usually not late
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.16 in
LCK (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.