Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1492
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 1492 · VPS → XNA
departs 6:57 PM CT · arrives 8:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.2 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.16 in
XNA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,433 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.