G4 1533 · AZA → FNT

departs 3:13 PM MT · arrives 9:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FNT?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
38%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ FNT usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FNT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1533 · AZA → FNT

Odds over time

How late will it get to FNT?