Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1558
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 1558 · MCO → ATW
departs 7:35 PM ET · arrives 9:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
32%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at ATW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATW?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATW usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
ATW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.