G4 1567 · LAS → ATW

departs 11:02 AM PT · arrives 4:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATW?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from LAS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ ATW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1567 · LAS → ATW

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATW?