G4 1604 · BOI → SNA

departs 5:59 PM MT · arrives 7:27 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

BOI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1604 · BOI → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?