G4 1605 · COS → AZA

departs 5:50 PM MT · arrives 6:36 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AZA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at COS

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AZA (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1605 · COS → AZA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AZA?