G4 1634 · EUG → LAS

departs 7:48 PM PT · arrives 9:56 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±9 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ EUG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EUG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1634 · EUG → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?