Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 172
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 172 · SFB → ABE
departs 9:12 PM ET · arrives 11:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at ABE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ABE?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from SFB are often late
↓
ABE usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 7.33333 mi Precip 0.23 in
ABE (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.