Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1787
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 1787 · ABE → RSW
departs 2:52 PM ET · arrives 5:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ABE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ABE that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ABE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ABE (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.14 in
RSW (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.