G4 1793 · SFB → ABE

took off 9:24 AM ET · expected to land 11:20 AM ET (scheduled 9:16 AM ET → 11:50 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ABE?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at ABE that day

↓ 9am departures from SFB are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SFB (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.30 in

ABE (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1793 · SFB → ABE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABE?