Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1796
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 1796 · MYR → SWF
departs 3:44 PM ET · arrives 5:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SWF more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SWF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at SWF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SWF?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MYR that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MYR usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SWF
Weather at each end
MYR (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.90 in
SWF (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.