Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1868
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 1868 · AVL → PGD
departs 12:40 PM ET · arrives 2:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
−15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at AVL that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
AVL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
PGD (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.