G4 1871 · AVL → FLL

departs 12:39 PM ET · arrives 2:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↓ AVL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.10 in

FLL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1871 · AVL → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?