Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 187
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 187 · RSW → ABE
departs 6:36 PM ET · arrives 9:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at ABE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ABE?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at ABE that day
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
ABE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.