Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1883
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 1883 · SFB → AVL
departs 8:58 PM ET · arrives 10:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
8pm departures from SFB are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
SFB usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.30 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.