Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1884
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
G4 1884 · PGD → IAD
departs 3:14 PM ET · arrives 5:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
IAD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
IAD (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.