Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1886
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 1886 · VPS → AVL
departs 3:08 PM CT · arrives 5:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AVL that day
↑
3pm departures from VPS are often late
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.75 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip 1.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.