Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1945 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:59 AM CT, ETA 12:52 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

G4 1945 · FAR → BNA

took off 10:59 AM CT · expected to land 12:52 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from FAR are often late

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAR

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FAR (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1945 · FAR → BNA

Odds over time