Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1951
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 1951 · BNA → SHV
departs 8:00 AM CT · arrives 9:27 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at SHV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SHV?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SHV that day
↑
Other factors
↓
SHV usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into SHV at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SHV (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.