G4 1967 · BNA → DSM

departs 4:14 PM CT · arrives 6:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

DSM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1967 · BNA → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?