Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 201
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 201 · SWF → MYR
departs 6:30 PM ET · arrives 8:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SWF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MYR?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MYR that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MYR usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SWF that day
Weather at each end
SWF (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
MYR (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.92 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.