Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2122
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2122 · MDT → FLL
departs 5:58 PM ET · arrives 8:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MDT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MDT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 900 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 3,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.