G4 2141 · FLL → SWF

took off 8:03 AM ET · landed 10:44 AM ET (scheduled 7:50 AM ET → 11:12 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SWF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SWF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from FLL are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SWF (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2141 · FLL → SWF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SWF?