Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2166
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2166 · PGD → GRR
departs 11:46 AM ET · arrives 2:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at GRR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GRR?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
Other factors
↓
GRR usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.34 in
GRR (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.