Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2175
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2175 · GRR → PIE
departs 3:19 PM ET · arrives 5:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR
↓
GRR is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
GRR (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.