G4 2202 · BNA → FNT

took off 2:34 PM CT · landed 4:49 PM ET (scheduled 2:22 PM CT → 5:06 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FNT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into FNT at that hour are often late

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ FNT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

FNT (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2202 · BNA → FNT

Odds over time

How late did it get to FNT?