G4 2230 · SFB → HTS

departs 3:23 PM ET · arrives 5:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at HTS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HTS?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at HTS that day

↓ HTS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SFB (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.30 in

HTS (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2230 · SFB → HTS

Odds over time

How late will it get to HTS?