Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2231
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2231 · PGD → IND
departs 7:11 PM ET · arrives 9:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.29 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.