G4 2275 · SNA → AZA

departs 9:00 PM PT · arrives 10:26 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AZA?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at AZA that day

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AZA (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2275 · SNA → AZA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AZA?