G4 2301 · AZA → ICT

departs 11:54 AM MT · arrives 4:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ 11am departures from AZA are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ICT

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ICT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2301 · AZA → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?