Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 244 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

G4 244 · EWR → AVL

departs 9:55 AM ET · arrives 11:50 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at AVL that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into AVL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.13 in

AVL (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.74 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 244 · EWR → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?