Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2475
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2475 · PGD → PVD
departs 8:45 AM ET · arrives 11:41 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/8 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at PVD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PVD?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
8am departures from PGD are usually not late
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
PVD (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.