G4 2488 · MDW → PGD

took off 11:09 AM CT · landed 2:35 PM ET (scheduled 11:09 AM CT → 3:15 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PGD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from MDW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2488 · MDW → PGD

Odds over time

How late did it get to PGD?