Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2518
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 2518 · PVD → PGD
departs 12:31 PM ET · arrives 3:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at PVD that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PVD (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.03 in
PGD (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.