G4 2549 · PGD → PVD

took off 3:27 PM ET · expected to land 5:54 PM ET (scheduled 3:36 PM ET → 6:41 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PVD?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ PVD usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

PVD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2549 · PGD → PVD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVD?