Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2560
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2560 · PGD → SBN
departs 2:41 PM ET · arrives 5:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at SBN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SBN?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
SBN usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
SBN (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.