G4 2622 · PIE → BGR

departs 3:04 PM ET · arrives 6:26 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BGR?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ BGR usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

BGR (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2622 · PIE → BGR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BGR?