Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2649
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 2649 · MEM → PIE
departs 8:40 PM CT · arrives 11:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.09 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.