Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2653
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2653 · PIE → IND
departs 6:13 PM ET · arrives 8:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.