G4 2659 · PIE → MEM

departs 1:03 PM ET · arrives 2:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from PIE are often late

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PIE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

MEM (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2659 · PIE → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?