G4 2671 · PIE → PIA

took off 5:30 PM ET · expected to land 6:38 PM CT (scheduled 5:22 PM ET → 7:04 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PIA more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from PIE are often late

↓ PIA usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2671 · PIE → PIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIA?