Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2677
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 2677 · PIE → MEM
departs 6:53 PM ET · arrives 7:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from PIE are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↓
PIE usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.