G4 2677 · SGF → PIE

took off 9:05 AM CT · expected to land 12:20 PM ET (scheduled 8:59 AM CT → 12:24 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIE?

LIVE

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2677 · SGF → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?